Trading Psychology Plan
- Trading Panic
-
Are You
Prepared To Trade YOUR Base Setups
-
OR Do YOU Trade In A Panic?
Panic attacks, which affect roughly
one-third of Americans, and perhaps many more who are simply unaware
that they are even suffering from panic attacks, involve a period of
intense, often overwhelming and irrational, fear of distress that are
usually associated with other fears.
|
 |
It is important to note that panic attacks are not
usually indicative of some underlying medical disorder or
psychological problem. |
There are several primary symptoms
associated with the panic attacks. For example, those who
have experienced them generally state that there is a brief onset
of trembling, followed by a shortness of breath. Some
experience more pronounced symptoms ranging from heart
palpitations to hyperventilation to choking or smothering.
The general consensus that panic
attacks stem from other phobias, or fears, which in turn triggers
a panic attack upon exposure to these fears. If a person
suffers from acrophobia, or fear of heights, for instance, upon
flying in an airplane, this phobia may be triggered, causing the
person to enter a panicked state and, hence, have a panic attack.
During a panic attack, the "flight vs. fight" reaction comes into
play and the person experiencing the attack suddenly has an
overwhelming desire to leave the situation they are currently in.
AND Who Is More Likely To Suffer From A Panic Attack?
Most
of those who are chronic sufferers have jobs that are either very
physically or mentally challenging, leading to a great deal of
stress. When stress levels are high, and one does not have the
ability to simply pull away from the situation and relax, the body
often times goes into overdrive, a condition that, if occurring to
often, can lead an individual to overheat, much like a car would
do. In an individual, however, this overheating takes its form in
a panic attack. The heart will being to race, palms will grow
sweaty, and a general feeling of gloom will preside, forcing the
individual to step back from whatever he or she was doing, take a
breather, and relax.
There are also several
personality traits that doctors believe can contribute to a person
experiencing a panic attack. People who are extremely
analytical, are obsessive, emotionally sensitive, or need to be in
control at all times are also more likely to experience a panic attack. The primary
reason people with these personality traits are more likely to
experience a panic attack is because these people are likely to focus
all of their attention on a single issue, and when this issue is no
longer under their control, they are likely to 'freak out', thereby
resulting in a panic attack. There is an
obsessive or compulsive aspect to all of these personality traits, and
it is those kinds of qualities that are most prone to trigger a panic attack.
Consider Day Trading In The Context Of Trading Psychology
And Trading Panic
It is important to note that panic
attacks are not usually indicative of some underlying medical disorder
or psychological problem. Most of the time, normal people, ones
who are completely healthy, are those who experience panic attacks.
When you consider the characteristics
of day trading, and all the associated fears and doubts, both for the
outcome of the trade itself, as well as the related self-esteem of the
trader receiving that outcome - certainly day trading is a stressful
undertaking done in a stressful environment - the potential for this
to manifest into what becomes a panic reaction is greatly expanded.
Again, this should not be viewed as
something inherently wrong with the individual, this is the normal
reaction - this can be controlled.
Consider Stress-Panic Escalation In The Context Of
Accurate Evaluations
There are a number of ways that your thoughts can
become distorted - recognizing and refuting these distorted thoughts
are necessary as part of the plan to control the emotion.
Consider the following cognitive distortions that are
common to your thinking in general AND then how they show up in your
trading in specific. For instance HOW many times have you lost
3-4 ticks on a russell trade AND said that you got killed?
-
All or nothing thinking: No shades of gray exist so IF
your performance is not perfect - you view yourself as a
complete failure.
-
Overgeneralization: One single negative event is viewed as
an endless pattern of defeat.
-
Disqualifying the positive: You discount all positive
experiences.
-
Magnification or minimization: You may exaggerate the
importance of an error or someone else's achievements. You
may underrate your own strengths or someone else's weaknesses.
-
Should Statements: You motivate yourself with
shoulds-oughts-musts which leads to guilt. When you direct
these statements inwardly you experience exaggerated feelings of
anger-frustration-resentment.
-
Labeling and mislabeling: You label yourself
inappropriately - I am a loser - I am a stupid idiot. You
are NOT your trading. When you do this it makes it
difficult, if not impossible, for you to continue
constructively.
Consider Trading Psychology And Trading Panic In The
Context Of Day Trading Method
How do you cure panic attacks, which is to say, how do
you keep from letting the inherent stress involved with day trading
escalate to the point where it becomes atypical and a panic attack
becomes the outcome - an outcome that replaces method trading with
non-method trading?
Are any of the following points consistently
characteristic of your trading:
-
Do you feel prepared when you take a trade OR do you
constantly feel that each trade is a 'rush' to get in before you
'miss' the trade?
-
How many entries, that really are base setups, do you
then miss AND follow that with a non-setup trade chase or 'early'
trade in the opposite direction?
-
How many trades do you take OR not take based on your
opinion or bias with regards to the outcome of the trade - I can't
go long because the market has gone too high, I can't go short
because I have missed the initial entry AND if I enter now it is
going to reverse?
-
How many trades do you take OR not take, where the
decision is based on a prior trade - either missing a trade OR
losing on a trade?
Part of the reason a panic attack can escalate from
mild to intense is because the sufferer becomes fixated on what is
happening and, consequently, whether real or imaginary, the symptoms
seem to get much worse. Putting oneself in a relaxing
environment will help lower an individual's stress levels which can
help lessen any potential symptoms that may arise. Although this
may be practical in the typical panic situation, it becomes more
difficult in the day trading environment which is continual real time
information processing.
When I think about how I initially became able to
control the stress involved with day trading, to the extent that I
could execute method and progress through learning to trade, trading
method selectivity and increasing trading preparation time were
critical. This became the development of the left side-right
side concept of our trading method, it allowed for increase
preparation time, additional setup components for selectivity AND with
this a diminishing of that 'rushed' real time stress involved with the
immediate right side decision. Over time I have come to add
setups that don't have this selectivity, for instance the pivot trades
for partial profits and congestion break positioning done sometimes
when things are slow-sideways - BUT this was absolutely not the
approach at the beginning.
Is Trading Psychology Stress-Panic Self-Induced?
Psychology - absolutely no.
We all bring core personality traits into trading,
traits which may have never been an issue in other situations BUT now
are very problematic for trading.
Trading Psychology - yes.
I will suggest that the outcome stemming from something
that is knowingly done is self-induced: Why did you take that
trade - I don't know. Was it a base setup - no.
I have always understood trade avoidance as result of
the psychology that the trader brings with them to trading, traits for
instance that make them risk adverse to the point where they are
afraid to trade. This is a different situation that will have to
be dealt with IF the trader will eventually be able to trade, but I
view that as psychology and not trading psychology.
However, what I don't understand, is when a trader
continually trades without having defined the base setups that they
are going to trade BUT trades anyway, and of course there results are
going to be very inconsistent to the extent of being random, for
instance the trader will lose more money on a 'bad' trading day then
they are able to make on a 'terrific' trading day. This is what
I regard as trading psychology, and in this context the escalation of
stress which turns into panic directed trading decisions is
self-induced.
We have the option of taking a trade or doing nothing,
and granted there will always be an amount of mistakes or setup
misreads. BUT to continually AND knowingly trade non-setup
trades, is a conscious decision AND from that standpoint is
controllable. Again, do nothing BUT IF you are going to trade,
selectively trade defined base setups with the intentions of adding to
your setups/trade quantity after you have been able to consistently
traded them - this is the process involved with not letting the basic
stress involved with trading that can be controlled - turn into panic
directed trading with circumvents all your efforts AND can't be
controlled.
-
Step Away From The Panic Or It Will Control Your
Next Move
- Sometimes You Just Have To Laugh
"Laughter is an instant vacation." - Milton Berle
-
"Laughter gives us distance. It allows us to step back from
an event, deal with it, and then move on." - Bob Newhart
-
"With the fearful strain that is on me night and day, if I did not
laugh I should die." - Abraham Lincoln
One day instead of my typical screaming and cussing, I
found myself laughing at what I had just done, laughing at what was
really a 'stupid' trade that shouldn't have been done - this may have
been the most important day in my trading career. I immediately
forgot about the trade, and took the next base trade that 'should' be
done instead of steaming over the 'stupid' trade. Whether the
trade was a winner wasn't an issue; I controlled stress instead of
letting it control me AND by doing so I was able to continue to method
trade, instead of beginning to have a session of panic trading.
WHY did this happen - WHY was this so important to me -
I am sure it wasn't a conscious event or action?
I had finally progressed to the point where I was
method evaluating my trading, and when I took the non-method trade, I
immediately realized it AND as it turned out - I laughed at myself.
As I went forward I became very cognizant about method evaluation in
my study AND the more I did this the better my trading became. I
remember the days where I would sit in front of the screen the entire
day and only trade 1 setup AND IF it didn't occur THEN I didn't trade.
I remember the hours that I would review charts studying the same
pattern OR learning how left side price becomes right side price
action. I remember the 100s of screen prints AND notes of
individual occurrences. AND I clearly remember the very
selective trading where 5-8 trades in a day was a lot of trades.
I became a student of method. I learned
selectivity - I developed discipline. AND I learned that
ultimately - it was method that enables the trader to control
psychology. Now, whenever I consider trading, and especially
when I work with other traders, I try very hard to extend the concepts
of method and method evaluation - taking the attitude that the
relevant discussion should be: is it a base setup AND WHAT are
the setup components.
Base Method Wins BUT The Trader Loses
Consider the chart/trades below in the following
context: (1) base trade winner -vs- non-base trade loser (2)
were the non-base trade losers mistakes/misreads OR were they a panic
response to a missed winning trade (3) is possibly the biggest problem
with the panic response not the trade loss BUT the lasting effect and
what happens going forward.

green dot1 - yellow dot1: you do not buy green dot1 AND have no subsequent setup
to enter the swing - so you do nothing until yellow dot1 which is a
swing high breakout into a pmd which you (1) didn't see (2) saw and
didn't care - AND you end up with a losing trade.
yellow dot2: price congests between the pmd high and the blue line
as support, then after a lower high you sell yellow dot2 which is a
non-setup 1 line breakout into the floor pivot which you (1) didn't
see (2) saw and didn't care - after missing the green dot buy you
aren't going to miss a similar size sell - AND you end up with a
losing trade.
green dot2: price breaks through the floor pivot
but can't shift it resistance AND the indicators reverse back 'into
buy' AND through the yellow line where you get the sell loss discussed
above. there is no setup to trade at this time AND regardless,
after your buy-sell losers on the previous 2 trades - you aren't going
to reverse to long even IF it was a base setup. the yellow line
breaks AND shifts to support WITH mex continuing to flow up - green
dot2 is a base resumption setup of the left side swing BUT you didn't
take the trade because you (1) didn't see it (2) saw it and didn't
care - AND you end up missing another winning trade.
think about the considerations above AND especially the
lasting effect to a non-base/panic trade - is this the 'real' reason
that the green dot2 buy isn't done AND IF yes - isn't this
controllable simply by having the discipline to miss a potential
winning trade IF there isn't a base setup for entry?
Method Evaluation - Non-Setup Trade Wins
IF I ask a trader to show me a base setup, more often
then not I will get a hindsight chart that shows a 'large' winning
trade AND I will be shown that where the trade initially starts OR the
break of the first pause - is the base setup WITH very little
discussion of the setup components themselves - certainly not in the
context that 'properly' method evaluates the trade AND allows it to be
seen and executed real time.
This becomes even more problematic for 2 reasons:
(1) possibly the setup that is shown is not a base setup - meaning
that if the trader continued to take the same trade they would have a
very different outcome (2) the trader doesn't see the 'real' base
setup AND any additional components like breakout potential - the
actual 'reason' the trade continued.

yellow dot1 - yellow dot2: a trader could call
yellow dot1 a pmd-swing reverse as the 'winning' trade setup as this
is the location of where the winning swing began. except this is
not correct - this is a pmd-initial reverse which is right into left
side resistance at the blue line. no trade should be done AND
that includes break2 of the blue line which triggers with a ticki
high. a trader could also call yellow dot2 a shift-reject of the
blue line with a ttmf hook - except this would be a trade against mex
flow.
however any of these trades IF done are winning trades
- regardless that they are not base setups. what is the message
to the trader - especially when they continually do the same trades
'missing' the reasons why they are said to be non-base setups AND
receive the 'larger number' result which very likely will be a loss
BUT certainly in no way a winning trade like their example.
green dot: blue line shift-reject WITH the mex
rollback WITH the right side triple diagonal break INTO the across the
chart triple top break. this is the base setup - those are the
components to the trade setup AND the critical break-failure points to
allow this chart to continue are 'known' since the purple rectangle.
this is what i would refer to as trade evaluation based
on trade method - where we can define specific setup components AND
watch for them to occur - trade them when we see them. it may be
more important to understand that a non-setup winning trade wasn't
base - as it is to understand that a non-setup losing trade wasn't
base - because chances are they are largely the identical setups.
Copyright © 2006
Tactical Trading, LLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited. |